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New England Patriots 2026

Gridline projects the New England Patriots for 9.4 wins (range 8 to 11), with a 58% chance to make the playoffs and 4% to win the AFC East. Against the spread in 2026: 3-5-1; overs 6, unders 3.

Current record 5-4. Projections come from 20,000 simulations of the remaining schedule.

Schedule and projections

WeekGameProj. marginWin chanceResult
Wk 1at Seahawks-5.434%L 10-13
Wk 2vs Steelers+6.068%W 20-3
Wk 3at Jaguars-5.234%L 6-35
Wk 4at Bills-6.630%W 29-26
Wk 5vs Raiders+4.464%W 45-17
Wk 6vs Jets+8.575%W 26-19
Wk 7at Bears-1.645%L 24-30
Wk 8at Dolphins+6.168%W 24-19
Wk 9vs Packers+6.569%L 27-45
Wk 10at Lions-6.231%
Wk 12at Chargers+6.770%
Wk 13vs Bills-3.340%
Wk 14vs Vikings+6.068%
Wk 15at Chiefs-4.437%
Wk 16at Jets+3.862%
Wk 17vs Broncos+2.156%
Wk 18vs Dolphins+9.477%

All teams

49ers · Bears · Bengals · Bills · Broncos · Browns · Buccaneers · Cardinals · Chargers · Chiefs · Colts · Commanders · Cowboys · Dolphins · Eagles · Falcons · Giants · Jaguars · Jets · Lions · Packers · Panthers · Patriots · Raiders · Rams · Ravens · Saints · Seahawks · Steelers · Texans · Titans · Vikings

Projections are research, not betting advice. Sports betting is not legal in every state. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.