Broncos vs Patriots
Gridline projects the New England Patriots to beat the Denver Broncos 23-21 (56% to win). Vegas has no line posted.
Sun Jan 3, 1:00 PM ET · Gillette Stadium · Week 17, 2026 NFL season
Gridline vs Vegas
| Gridline | Vegas | |
|---|---|---|
| Projected margin | Patriots by 2.1 | no line posted |
| Total (Vegas + model adjustments) | 44.8 | — |
| Total (stats only) | 44.8 | |
| Win probability | Patriots 56% · Broncos 44% |
- Quarterbacks: Bo Nix (Broncos) vs Drake Maye (Patriots).
Questions
- Who will win Broncos vs Patriots?
- Gridline projects the New England Patriots to win 23-21, with a 56% chance to win outright.
- How accurate is Gridline?
- Through Nov 12, Gridline has picked 91-45 straight up and 68-63 against the spread in 137 graded 2026 games, with total leans of 1.5+ points at 23-15.
More
- All Week 17 predictions
- Denver Broncos 2026 projections
- New England Patriots 2026 projections
- Season board with live odds and the matchup calculator to change the QBs, weather or injuries
Projections are research, not betting advice. Sports betting is not legal in every state. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.