Home › Week 13 › Bills vs Patriots

Bills vs Patriots

Gridline projects the Buffalo Bills to beat the New England Patriots 25-22 (60% to win). Vegas has no line posted.

Sun Dec 6, 4:25 PM ET · Gillette Stadium · Week 13, 2026 NFL season

Gridline vs Vegas

GridlineVegas
Projected marginBills by 3.3no line posted
Total (Vegas + model adjustments)47.5—
Total (stats only)47.5
Win probabilityPatriots 40% · Bills 60%

Questions

Who will win Bills vs Patriots?
Gridline projects the Buffalo Bills to win 25-22, with a 60% chance to win outright.
How accurate is Gridline?
Through Nov 12, Gridline has picked 91-45 straight up and 68-63 against the spread in 137 graded 2026 games, with total leans of 1.5+ points at 23-15.

More

Projections are research, not betting advice. Sports betting is not legal in every state. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.