Patriots vs Chiefs
Gridline projects the Kansas City Chiefs to beat the New England Patriots 25-21 (63% to win). Vegas has no line posted.
Mon Dec 21, 8:15 PM ET · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium · Week 15, 2026 NFL season
Gridline vs Vegas
| Gridline | Vegas | |
|---|---|---|
| Projected margin | Chiefs by 4.4 | no line posted |
| Total (Vegas + model adjustments) | 45.6 | — |
| Total (stats only) | 45.6 | |
| Win probability | Chiefs 63% · Patriots 37% |
- Quarterbacks: Drake Maye (Patriots) vs Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs).
Questions
- Who will win Patriots vs Chiefs?
- Gridline projects the Kansas City Chiefs to win 25-21, with a 63% chance to win outright.
- How accurate is Gridline?
- Through Nov 12, Gridline has picked 91-45 straight up and 68-63 against the spread in 137 graded 2026 games, with total leans of 1.5+ points at 23-15.
More
- All Week 15 predictions
- New England Patriots 2026 projections
- Kansas City Chiefs 2026 projections
- Season board with live odds and the matchup calculator to change the QBs, weather or injuries
Projections are research, not betting advice. Sports betting is not legal in every state. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.