Panthers vs Saints
Gridline projects the New Orleans Saints to beat the Carolina Panthers 25-24 (54% to win). Vegas has NO −2.5 with the total at 49.
Sun Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET · Caesars Superdome · Week 10, 2026 NFL season
Gridline vs Vegas
| Gridline | Vegas | |
|---|---|---|
| Projected margin | Saints by 1.4 | NO −2.5 |
| Total (Vegas + model adjustments) | 49.4 | 49 |
| Total (stats only) | 46.6 | |
| Win probability | Saints 54% · Panthers 46% |
- Spread: Gridline is 1.1 points more bullish on the Panthers than Vegas. That is under the 3-point gap the model needs, so it is no play.
- Total: over 49 by 0.4 points. Under the 1.5-point lean threshold, so no play.
- Weather: indoors.
- Quarterbacks: Bryce Young (Panthers) vs Tyler Shough (Saints).
- Best numbers at the books (as of Sat Nov 14, 2:30 PM ET): Panthers +2.5 −110 (BetMGM); Saints -1 −121 (LowVig); over 48.5 −107 (BetRivers); under 49 −110 (BetUS).
Player props
Anytime touchdown
| Player | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chuba Hubbard (CAR RB) | 47% | +112 |
| Chris Olave (NO WR) | 39% | +157 |
| Audric Estime (NO RB) | 37% | +173 |
| Alvin Kamara (NO RB) | 35% | +186 |
| Kendre Miller (NO RB) | 34% | +196 |
| Tetairoa McMillan (CAR WR) | 32% | +210 |
Passing yards
| QB | Projection | 300+ yards |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Young (CAR) | 248 | 23% |
| Tyler Shough (NO) | 245 | 22% |
Rushing and receiving yards
| Player | Rushing | Receiving |
|---|---|---|
| Chuba Hubbard (CAR RB) | 71 | 19 |
| Chris Olave (NO WR) | 79 | |
| Tetairoa McMillan (CAR WR) | 64 | |
| Jalen Coker (CAR WR) | 49 | |
| Audric Estime (NO RB) | 47 | |
| Devaughn Vele (NO WR) | 45 |
Fair odds are the price where a bet would break even at Gridline's chance. The player model is graded against results but has not yet been tested against sportsbook prop lines.
Questions
- Who will win Panthers vs Saints?
- Gridline projects the New Orleans Saints to win 25-24, with a 54% chance to win outright.
- What is the over/under prediction for Panthers vs Saints?
- Gridline's total is 49.4 against a Vegas total of 49, over by 0.4 points.
- Will the Saints cover the spread?
- Vegas has NO −2.5. Gridline's margin is 1.4 for the Saints, a gap of 1.1 points from the line.
- How accurate is Gridline?
- Through Nov 12, Gridline has picked 91-45 straight up and 68-63 against the spread in 137 graded 2026 games, with total leans of 1.5+ points at 23-15.
More
- All Week 10 predictions
- Carolina Panthers 2026 projections
- New Orleans Saints 2026 projections
- Season board with live odds and the matchup calculator to change the QBs, weather or injuries
Projections are research, not betting advice. Sports betting is not legal in every state. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.