Chiefs vs Bills
Gridline projects the Buffalo Bills to beat the Kansas City Chiefs 27-21 (66% to win). Vegas has no line posted.
Thu Nov 26, 8:20 PM ET · Highmark Stadium · Week 12, 2026 NFL season
Gridline vs Vegas
| Gridline | Vegas | |
|---|---|---|
| Projected margin | Bills by 5.2 | no line posted |
| Total (Vegas + model adjustments) | 48.1 | — |
| Total (stats only) | 48.1 | |
| Win probability | Bills 66% · Chiefs 34% |
- Quarterbacks: Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs) vs Josh Allen (Bills).
Questions
- Who will win Chiefs vs Bills?
- Gridline projects the Buffalo Bills to win 27-21, with a 66% chance to win outright.
- How accurate is Gridline?
- Through Nov 12, Gridline has picked 91-45 straight up and 68-63 against the spread in 137 graded 2026 games, with total leans of 1.5+ points at 23-15.
More
- All Week 12 predictions
- Kansas City Chiefs 2026 projections
- Buffalo Bills 2026 projections
- Season board with live odds and the matchup calculator to change the QBs, weather or injuries
Projections are research, not betting advice. Sports betting is not legal in every state. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.