Rams vs Cardinals
Gridline projects the Los Angeles Rams to beat the Arizona Cardinals 24-14 (78% to win). Vegas has LA −9.5 with the total at 39.5.
Sun Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET · State Farm Stadium · Week 10, 2026 NFL season
Gridline vs Vegas
| Gridline | Vegas | |
|---|---|---|
| Projected margin | Rams by 9.9 | LA −9.5 |
| Total (Vegas + model adjustments) | 38.3 | 39.5 |
| Total (stats only) | 44.8 | |
| Win probability | Cardinals 22% · Rams 78% |
- Spread: Gridline is 0.4 points more bullish on the Rams than Vegas. That is under the 3-point gap the model needs, so it is no play.
- Total: under 39.5 by 1.2 points. Under the 1.5-point lean threshold, so no play.
- Quarterbacks: Matthew Stafford (Rams) vs Gardner Minshew (Cardinals). Backup starting: Gardner Minshew.
- Best numbers at the books (as of Sat Nov 14, 2:30 PM ET): Rams -8.5 −109 (BetRivers); Cardinals +10 −120 (BetOnline); over 39 −113 (LowVig); under 39.5 −108 (BetMGM).
Player props
Anytime touchdown
| Player | Chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua (LA WR) | 49% | +105 |
| Kyren Williams (LA RB) | 48% | +107 |
| Blake Corum (LA RB) | 34% | +196 |
| Trey McBride (ARI TE) | 29% | +244 |
| Jeremiyah Love (ARI RB) | 27% | +272 |
| Tyler Allgeier (ARI RB) | 26% | +282 |
Passing yards
| QB | Projection | 300+ yards |
|---|---|---|
| Gardner Minshew (ARI) | 228 | 17% |
| Matthew Stafford (LA) | 243 | 21% |
Rushing and receiving yards
| Player | Rushing | Receiving |
|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua (LA WR) | 94 | |
| Kyren Williams (LA RB) | 66 | |
| Trey McBride (ARI TE) | 59 | |
| Michael Wilson (ARI WR) | 58 | |
| Blake Corum (LA RB) | 52 | |
| Jeremiyah Love (ARI RB) | 44 |
Fair odds are the price where a bet would break even at Gridline's chance. The player model is graded against results but has not yet been tested against sportsbook prop lines.
Questions
- Who will win Rams vs Cardinals?
- Gridline projects the Los Angeles Rams to win 24-14, with a 78% chance to win outright.
- What is the over/under prediction for Rams vs Cardinals?
- Gridline's total is 38.3 against a Vegas total of 39.5, under by 1.2 points.
- Will the Rams cover the spread?
- Vegas has LA −9.5. Gridline's margin is 9.9 for the Rams, a gap of 0.4 points from the line.
- How accurate is Gridline?
- Through Nov 12, Gridline has picked 91-45 straight up and 68-63 against the spread in 137 graded 2026 games, with total leans of 1.5+ points at 23-15.
More
- All Week 10 predictions
- Los Angeles Rams 2026 projections
- Arizona Cardinals 2026 projections
- Season board with live odds and the matchup calculator to change the QBs, weather or injuries
Projections are research, not betting advice. Sports betting is not legal in every state. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.